Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colorado Rapids win with a probability of 38.8%. A win for Austin FC had a probability of 37.46% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colorado Rapids win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.94%) and 0-2 (5.47%). The likeliest Austin FC win was 2-1 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Colorado Rapids would win this match.