Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 40.23%. A win for South Africa had a probability of 31.96% and a draw had a probability of 27.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest South Africa win was 0-1 (10%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.