Europa League
Mar 12, 2026 5.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Pierre-Mauroy
  • Ayyoub Bouaddi 46' yellowcard
  • Matías Fernández-Pardo 52' yellowcard
  • Félix Correia 66' yellowcard
  • Thomas Meunier 66' yellowcard
  • Soriba Diaoune 83' yellowcard
  • 84' yellowcard
  • goal Ollie Watkins 61'
  • yellowcard Tammy Abraham 77'
  • yellowcard John McGinn 77'
  • yellowcard John McGinn 78'
  • yellowcard Leon Bailey 83'
  • yellowcard 83'
  • yellowcard Ian Maatsen 83'
  • yellowcard Harvey Elliott 90'

Lille vs Aston Villa - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Lille

All competitions

Aston Villa

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 42.98%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 32.48% and a draw had a probability of 24.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 0-1 (7.51%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result

Lille 42.98% (+0.04)
Draw 24.55%
Aston Villa 32.48% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.92% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.46% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 22.54% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 54.58%
Under 2.5 45.42%
Over 3.5 32.28% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 67.72% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 18.73% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 81.27% (+0.01)

First Half Winner

Lille 30.54%
Draw 42.83%
Aston Villa 26.63%

Team To Score First

Lille 52.2%
No Goal 5.94%
Aston Villa 41.86%

Corners

Over 8 52.3% (+0.04)
Equal 8 11.91% (-0.01)
Under 8 35.8% (-0.03)
Over 9 40.67% (+0.04)
Equal 9 11.62% (-0.02)
Under 9 47.7% (-0.04)
Over 10.5 30.25% (+0.06)
Under 10.5 69.75% (-0.05)

Lille Goals

Over 1.5 43.7% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 56.3% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 19.74% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 80.26% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 7.22% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 92.78% (-0.02)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5 67.59% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 32.41% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 35.32% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 64.68% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 14.17% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 85.83% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 4.81% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 95.19% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Lille 42.99%
Draw 24.55%
Aston Villa 32.48%
Lille
1-0 @ 9.11%
2-1 @ 8.96% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 6.71% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.49%
3-0 @ 3.65% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.05%
Other @ 7.02% (+0.01)
Total : 42.99%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.31%
0-0 @ 5.94%
2-2 @ 5.77%
3-3 @ 1.33%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.55%
Aston Villa
0-1 @ 7.51% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 7.49% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.84%
1-3 @ 3.31% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.52% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.2%
Other @ 4.61% (-0.01)
Total : 32.48%

Head to Head

Conference League
Apr 18, 2024 5.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
ET Stade Pierre-Mauroy
  • Yusuf Yazici 15' goal
  • Paulo Fonseca 22' yellowcard
  • Nabil Bentaleb 42' yellowcard
  • Benjamin Andre 43' yellowcard
  • Morgan Rogers 61' yellowcard
  • Benjamin Andre 67' goal
  • Angel Gomes 117' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nicolo Zaniolo 21'
  • yellowcard Emiliano Martinez 39'
  • yellowcard Unai Emery 44'
  • yellowcard Lucas Digne 61'
  • yellowcard Jhon Duran 76'
  • goal Matty Cash 87'
  • yellowcard Ollie Watkins 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Angel Gomes 109'
  • yellowcard Emiliano Martinez 122'
Conference League
Apr 11, 2024 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Villa Park
  • Ollie Watkins 13' goal
  • Douglas Luiz 49' yellowcard
  • John McGinn 56' goal
  • Youri Tielemans 77' yellowcard
  • Emiliano Martinez 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Paulo Fonseca 45'+1'
  • goal Bafode Diakite 84'

Build-up

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News