Liga MX | Gameweek 1
Jan 9, 2021 at 3.30am UK
Estadio de Mazatlan

Mazatlan
3 - 2
Necaxa

Aristeguieta (28'), Vargas (31'), Sanvezzo (71' pen.)
FT(HT: 2-1)
Delgado (43'), Zendejas (65')
Barragan (34'), Gonzalez (79'), Leiva (85')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Mazatlan and Necaxa.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mazatlan win with a probability of 38.07%. A win for Necaxa had a probability of 34.03% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mazatlan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.02%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Necaxa win was 0-1 (10.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mazatlan would win this match.

Result
MazatlanDrawNecaxa
38.07%27.9%34.03%
Both teams to score 47.95%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.01%58%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.32%78.68%
Mazatlan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.53%29.47%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.52%65.48%
Necaxa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.99%32.01%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.53%68.47%
Score Analysis
    Mazatlan 38.06%
    Necaxa 34.03%
    Draw 27.89%
MazatlanDrawNecaxa
1-0 @ 11.52%
2-1 @ 8.02%
2-0 @ 7.04%
3-1 @ 3.27%
3-0 @ 2.87%
3-2 @ 1.86%
4-1 @ 1%
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 38.06%
1-1 @ 13.12%
0-0 @ 9.43%
2-2 @ 4.57%
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 27.89%
0-1 @ 10.74%
1-2 @ 7.48%
0-2 @ 6.12%
1-3 @ 2.84%
0-3 @ 2.32%
2-3 @ 1.74%
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 34.03%