Liga MX | Gameweek 4
Jan 31, 2021 at 3.06am UK
Estadio Caliente

Tijuana
3 - 2
Toluca

Manotas (13'), Martinez (21'), Sansores (24')
Lorona (43'), Manotas (74'), Tercero (86')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Canelo (37'), Barbieri (53')
Canelo (56'), Torres (67'), Sambueza (73')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Club Tijuana and Toluca.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Tijuana win with a probability of 44.55%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 27.76% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club Tijuana win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.71%) and 2-1 (8.61%). The likeliest Toluca win was 0-1 (9.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club Tijuana would win this match.

Result
Club TijuanaDrawToluca
44.55%27.69%27.76%
Both teams to score 46.22%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.95%59.05%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.49%79.51%
Club Tijuana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.6%26.39%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.44%61.55%
Toluca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.8%37.2%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.01%73.98%
Score Analysis
    Club Tijuana 44.54%
    Toluca 27.76%
    Draw 27.68%
Club TijuanaDrawToluca
1-0 @ 13.07%
2-0 @ 8.71%
2-1 @ 8.61%
3-0 @ 3.87%
3-1 @ 3.83%
3-2 @ 1.89%
4-0 @ 1.29%
4-1 @ 1.27%
Other @ 2%
Total : 44.54%
1-1 @ 12.93%
0-0 @ 9.82%
2-2 @ 4.26%
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 27.68%
0-1 @ 9.71%
1-2 @ 6.4%
0-2 @ 4.8%
1-3 @ 2.11%
0-3 @ 1.58%
2-3 @ 1.4%
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 27.76%