Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club America win with a probability of 55.4%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Club Tijuana had a probability of 20.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club America win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.51%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.46%), while for a Club Tijuana win it was 0-1 (6.82%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club America would win this match.