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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 8
Oct 8, 2023 at 6.30pm UK
Estadio 15 de Abril
Sarmiento

Union
1 - 0
Sarmiento

Orsini (90+4')
Domina (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Monaco (53')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Union and Sarmiento.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Colon 0-0 Union
Sunday, October 1 at 8.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Barracas Central 1-1 Sarmiento
Monday, October 2 at 10.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union win with a probability of 51.15%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 19.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.48%) and 2-1 (8.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.49%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 0-1 (9.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 17.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Union in this match.

Result
UnionDrawSarmiento
51.15% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05) 28.89% (-0.047999999999998 -0.05) 19.96% (0.098000000000003 0.1)
Both teams to score 36.62% (0.204 0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
32.4% (0.195 0.2)67.59% (-0.196 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
14.33% (0.13 0.13)85.66% (-0.129 -0.13)
Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.87% (0.069000000000003 0.07)27.13% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.48% (0.091999999999999 0.09)62.52% (-0.090999999999994 -0.09)
Sarmiento Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.25% (0.233 0.23)49.75% (-0.235 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.51% (0.161 0.16)84.48% (-0.16200000000001 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    Union 51.13%
    Sarmiento 19.96%
    Draw 28.88%
UnionDrawSarmiento
1-0 @ 17.6% (-0.099999999999998 -0.1)
2-0 @ 11.48% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 8.02% (0.028 0.03)
3-0 @ 5% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.49% (0.019 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.63% (0.0010000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 1.22% (0.015 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.14% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 1.57%
Total : 51.13%
0-0 @ 13.49% (-0.1 -0.1)
1-1 @ 12.29% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 2.8% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 28.88%
0-1 @ 9.42% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
1-2 @ 4.29% (0.035 0.04)
0-2 @ 3.29% (0.021 0.02)
1-3 @ 1% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 19.96%

Head to Head
May 15, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 16
Union
0-2
Sarmiento
Toledo (17', 54')
Sep 9, 2022 12.30am
Feb 27, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 4
Sarmiento
2-1
Union
Torres (34'), Andueza (42')
Torres (65'), Mancilla (90+4'), Femia (90+7')
Roldan (14')
Alvez (45'), Ignacio Nardoni (61')
Ignacio Nardoni (76')
Oct 16, 2021 5.30pm
Second Phase
Sarmiento
3-4
Union
Torres (44'), Alanis (73'), Gondou (90+4')
Bazzana (58'), Arismendi (88')
Gonzalez (38', 80'), Calderon (54'), Luna Diale (68')
Calderon (30'), Ignacio Nardoni (51'), Gonzalez (82')
Carlos Portillo (89')
rhs 2.0
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