Europa League
Jan 23, 2025 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 3 0
FT Stadio Olimpico
  • Mario Gila 5' goal
  • Nicolo Rovella 7' yellowcard
  • Mattia Zaccagni 32' goal
  • Valentin Castellanos 34' goal
  • Mattia Zaccagni 53' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Aihen Munoz 12'
  • redcard Aihen Munoz 30'
  • yellowcard Martin Zubimendi 39'
  • goal Ander Barrenetxea 83'

Lazio vs Real Sociedad - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Lazio

All competitions
Last game
Dec 12, 2024 8.00pm
Ajax 1 - 3 Lazio

Real Sociedad

All competitions
Last game
Dec 12, 2024 8.00pm
Real Sociedad 3 - 0 Dynamo Kiev

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 39.64%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 32.78% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.27%) and 0-2 (7.33%). The likeliest Lazio win was 1-0 (10.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.

Result

Lazio 32.78% (-0.05)
Draw 27.58% (-0.02)
Real Sociedad 39.64% (+0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.67% (+0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 43.02% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 56.98% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 22.12% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 77.88% (-0.03)
Over 4.5 9.58% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 90.42% (-0.02)

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5 67.67% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 32.33% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 31.16% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 68.84% (+0.03)

Real Sociedad Goals

Over 0.5 71.93% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 28.07% (-0.05)
Over 1.5 36.27% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 63.73% (-0.06)

Score analysis

Lazio 32.77%
Draw 27.57%
Real Sociedad 39.64%
Lazio
1-0 @ 10.24% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 7.35% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.78% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 2.77% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.18% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.76%
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 32.77%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.01% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 9.07% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.67% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 27.57%
Real Sociedad
0-1 @ 11.53% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 8.27% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 7.33% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 3.5% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 3.1% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.98% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.11% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 39.64%