/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fforlog_1.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fajalog.png)
-
Kristoffer Peterson
59'
-
Daley Sinkgraven
90'
-
Kian Fitz-Jim
33'
-
Jordan Henderson
42'
-
Wout Weghorst
68'
-
Oliver Valaker Edvardsen
84'
-
Christian Rasmussen
90'+4'
Fortuna Sittard vs Ajax - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F25%2F04%2Fdanny-buijs.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 50.91%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 25.63% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.28%) and 0-2 (8.17%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 2-1 (6.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Ajax in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Ajax.
Result
Both Teams to Score:
Goals
Fortuna Sittard Goals
Ajax Goals
Score analysis
1-0 @ 6.24% ▼ (-0.06)
2-0 @ 3.69% ▲ (+0.11)
3-1 @ 2.56% ▲ (+0.17)
3-2 @ 2.25% ▲ (+0.16)
3-0 @ 1.45% ▲ (+0.10)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 25.63%
2-2 @ 5.71% ▲ (+0.18)
0-0 @ 5.27% ▼ (-0.26)
3-3 @ 1.32% ▲ (+0.09)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.46%
0-1 @ 9.28% ▼ (-0.43)
0-2 @ 8.17% ▼ (-0.36)
1-3 @ 5.67% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 4.79% ▼ (-0.21)
2-3 @ 3.35% ▲ (+0.11)
1-4 @ 2.49% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 2.11% ▼ (-0.09)
2-4 @ 1.48% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 3.92%
Total : 50.91%
Rodrigo Guth
45'+1'