/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Futrlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fazlog.png)
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Alexandre Penetra
35'
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Mexx Meerdink
89'
FC Utrecht vs AZ Alkmaar - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F49%2Fron-jans.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 40.54%. A win for AZ Alkmaar had a probability of 34.94% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.09%) and 2-0 (6.21%). The likeliest AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
Result
FC Utrecht
40.54%
▲
(+0.56)
Draw
24.51%
▲
(+0.23)
AZ Alkmaar
34.94%
▼
(-0.78)
Both Teams to Score:
59.27%
▼
(-0.97)
Goals
Over 2.5
56.4%
▼
(-1.20)
Under 2.5
43.6%
▲
(+1.20)
Over 3.5
34%
▼
(-1.19)
Under 3.5
66%
▲
(+1.19)
Over 4.5
17.53%
▼
(-0.88)
Under 4.5
82.47%
▲
(+0.89)
FC Utrecht Goals
Over 0.5
78.45%
▼
(-0.26)
Under 0.5
21.55%
▲
(+0.26)
Over 1.5
45.37%
▼
(-0.40)
Under 1.5
54.62%
▲
(+0.40)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5
75.55%
▼
(-0.98)
Under 0.5
24.45%
▲
(+0.99)
Over 1.5
41.11%
▼
(-1.41)
Under 1.5
58.89%
▲
(+1.41)
Score analysis
FC Utrecht
40.54%
Draw
24.51%
AZ Alkmaar
34.94%
FC Utrecht
2-1
@
8.74%
▲
(+0.08)
1-0 @ 8.09% ▲ (+0.36)
2-0 @ 6.21% ▲ (+0.23)
3-1 @ 4.47% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.18% ▲ (+0.10)
3-2 @ 3.15% ▼ (-0.09)
4-1 @ 1.72% ▼ (-0.02)
4-0 @ 1.22% ▲ (+0.03)
4-2 @ 1.21% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 40.54%
1-0 @ 8.09% ▲ (+0.36)
2-0 @ 6.21% ▲ (+0.23)
3-1 @ 4.47% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.18% ▲ (+0.10)
3-2 @ 3.15% ▼ (-0.09)
4-1 @ 1.72% ▼ (-0.02)
4-0 @ 1.22% ▲ (+0.03)
4-2 @ 1.21% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 40.54%
Draw
1-1
@
11.39%
▲
(+0.20)
2-2 @ 6.16% ▼ (-0.13)
0-0 @ 5.27% ▲ (+0.28)
3-3 @ 1.48% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.51%
2-2 @ 6.16% ▼ (-0.13)
0-0 @ 5.27% ▲ (+0.28)
3-3 @ 1.48% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.51%
AZ Alkmaar
1-2
@
8.02%
▼
(-0.10)
0-1 @ 7.42% ▲ (+0.18)
0-2 @ 5.23% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 3.77% ▼ (-0.16)
2-3 @ 2.89% ▼ (-0.15)
0-3 @ 2.45% ▼ (-0.09)
1-4 @ 1.33% ▼ (-0.10)
2-4 @ 1.02% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 34.94%
0-1 @ 7.42% ▲ (+0.18)
0-2 @ 5.23% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 3.77% ▼ (-0.16)
2-3 @ 2.89% ▼ (-0.15)
0-3 @ 2.45% ▼ (-0.09)
1-4 @ 1.33% ▼ (-0.10)
2-4 @ 1.02% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 34.94%
