Primeira Liga Gameweek 13
Benfica
Dec 7, 2024 6.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Guimaraes
  • Kerem Akturkoglu 29' goal
  • Vangelis Pavlidis 31' yellowcard
  • Alvaro Fernandez 59' yellowcard
  • Angel di Maria 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joao Mendes 43'

Benfica vs Vitoria de Guimaraes - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Benfica

All competitions
Last game
Dec 1, 2024 6.00pm
Arouca 0 - 2 Benfica
Goals scored
84
Top scorer
Vangelis Pavlidis

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions
Last game
Dec 2, 2024 6.45pm
Guimaraes 4 - 0 Gil Vicente
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Gustavo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 72.49%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 11.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 1-0 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.72%), while for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win it was 1-2 (3.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result

Benfica 72.49% ▲ (+0.30)
Draw 16.48% ▼ (-0.11)
Vitoria de Guimaraes 11.03% ▼ (-0.20)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.05% ▼ (-0.32)

Goals

Over 2.5 63.74% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 2.5 36.25% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 3.5 41.62% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 3.5 58.38% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 4.5 23.46% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 4.5 76.54% ▲ (+0.06)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5 91.28% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 0.5 8.72% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 1.5 70.02% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 1.5 29.98% ▼ (-0.13)

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5 57.02% ▼ (-0.39)
Under 0.5 42.98% ▲ (+0.38)
Over 1.5 20.73% ▼ (-0.33)
Under 1.5 79.27% ▲ (+0.33)

Score analysis

Benfica 72.49%
Draw 16.48%
Vitoria de Guimaraes 11.03%
Benfica
2-0 @ 11.15% ▲ (+0.09)
2-1 @ 9.42% ▼ (-0.03)
1-0 @ 9.14% ▲ (+0.05)
3-0 @ 9.07% ▲ (+0.10)
3-1 @ 7.66% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 5.53% ▲ (+0.08)
4-1 @ 4.67% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.23% ▼ (-0.04)
5-0 @ 2.7% ▲ (+0.05)
5-1 @ 2.28% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.97% ▼ (-0.02)
6-0 @ 1.1% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 4.56%
Total : 72.49%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.72% ▼ (-0.04)
2-2 @ 3.98% ▼ (-0.06)
0-0 @ 3.75% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 1.04%
Total : 16.48%
Vitoria de Guimaraes
1-2 @ 3.26% ▼ (-0.06)
0-1 @ 3.16% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 1.34% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.12% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 11.03%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga Gameweek 21
Guimaraes
Feb 11, 2024 8.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques
Benfica
  • Jota Silva 9' yellowcard
  • Tiago Silva 35' goal
  • Bruno Gaspar 38' yellowcard
  • Andre Silva 61' goal
  • Toni Borevkovic 64' redcard
  • Nuno Santos 73' yellowcard
  • Nelson Oliveira 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Orkun Kokcu 33'
  • goal Rafa Silva 40'
  • yellowcard Antonio Silva 44'
  • yellowcard Florentino Luis 77'
  • goal Arthur Cabral 90'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Otamendi 90'+7'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 4
Benfica
Sep 2, 2023 8.30pm
4
0
HT : 3 0
FT Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Guimaraes
  • Jorge Fernandes 11' goal
  • Alexander Bah 31' yellowcard
  • Angel di Maria 33' goal
  • Fredrik Aursnes 46' goal
  • Orkun Kokcu 45'+5' goal
  • Nicolas Otamendi 60' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tiago Silva 17'
  • redcard Joao Mendes 19'
  • yellowcard Jota Silva 40'
  • yellowcard Tomas Handel 79'
  • yellowcard Afonso Freitas 90'+4'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 25
Benfica
Mar 18, 2023 6.00pm
5
1
HT : 3 0
FT Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Guimaraes
  • Goncalo Ramos 13' goal
  • Joao Mario 28' goal
  • Joao Mario 36' goal
  • Dani Silva 69' goal
  • Antonio Silva 89' goal
  • goal Andre Silva 79'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 8
Guimaraes
Oct 1, 2022 8.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques
Benfica
Primeira Liga Gameweek 24
Benfica
Feb 27, 2022 6.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
Guimaraes
  • Goncalo Ramos 23' goal
  • Everton 35' yellowcard
  • Darwin Nunez 37' goal
  • Darwin Nunez 52' goal
  • yellowcard Alfa Semedo 3'
  • yellowcard Abdul Mumin 55'
Taca da Liga
Guimaraes
Oct 27, 2021 7.30pm
3
3
HT : 2 3
FT Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques
Benfica
  • Andre Andre 21' goal
  • Oscar Estupinan 45'+2' goal
  • Bruno Duarte 83' goal
  • Nicolas Janvier 85' yellowcard
  • goal Alfa Semedo 7' (OG)
  • goal Pizzi 15'
  • yellowcard Joao Mario 27'
  • goal Nemanja Radonjic 28'
  • yellowcard Lucas Verissimo 37'

Form Data

Arouca 0 - 2 Benfica
Monaco 2 - 3 Benfica
Benfica 7 - 0 Estrela Amadora
Benfica 4 - 1 Porto
Bayern 1 - 0 Benfica
Farense 1 - 2 Benfica
Guimaraes 4 - 0 Gil Vicente
Astana 1 - 1 Guimaraes
Guimaraes 2 - 0 Uniao de Leiria
Santa Clara 1 - 0 Guimaraes
Guimaraes 2 - 1 Mlada Boleslav
Guimaraes 1 - 0 Moreirense