Hiroshima

3 - 0

Sagan Tosu

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 56.79%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 19.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.61%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.19%), while for a Sagan Tosu win it was 0-1 (6.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sanfrecce Hiroshima would win this match.