J1 League | Gameweek 19
Oct 24, 2020 at 6am UK
Mizuho Athletic Stadium

Nagoya Grampus
1 - 0
Vegalta Sendai

Inagaki (65')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Nagoya Grampus and Vegalta Sendai.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 57.79%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Vegalta Sendai had a probability of 18.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.11%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%), while for a Vegalta Sendai win it was 0-1 (6.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nagoya Grampus in this match.

Result
Nagoya GrampusDrawVegalta Sendai
57.79%23.56%18.66%
Both teams to score 47.87%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.26%51.74%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.49%73.51%
Nagoya Grampus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.33%17.67%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.7%48.3%
Vegalta Sendai Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.15%41.86%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.69%78.31%
Score Analysis
    Nagoya Grampus 57.79%
    Vegalta Sendai 18.66%
    Draw 23.55%
Nagoya GrampusDrawVegalta Sendai
1-0 @ 12.82%
2-0 @ 11.11%
2-1 @ 9.68%
3-0 @ 6.42%
3-1 @ 5.59%
4-0 @ 2.78%
3-2 @ 2.43%
4-1 @ 2.42%
4-2 @ 1.06%
5-0 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 57.79%
1-1 @ 11.16%
0-0 @ 7.4%
2-2 @ 4.21%
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 23.55%
0-1 @ 6.44%
1-2 @ 4.86%
0-2 @ 2.81%
1-3 @ 1.41%
2-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 18.66%