J1 League | Gameweek 28
Sep 26, 2020 at 6am UK
Mizuho Athletic Stadium

Nagoya Grampus
3 - 1
Shimizu S-Pulse

Abe (2'), Maeda (25'), Maruyama (74')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Carlinhos (88')
Augusto (77')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Nagoya Grampus and Shimizu S-Pulse.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 49.01%. A win for Shimizu S-Pulse had a probability of 25.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.43%) and 2-0 (8.79%). The likeliest Shimizu S-Pulse win was 0-1 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nagoya Grampus would win this match.

Result
Nagoya GrampusDrawShimizu S-Pulse
49.01%25.14%25.85%
Both teams to score 52.19%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.39%50.61%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.47%72.53%
Nagoya Grampus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.33%20.67%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.74%53.26%
Shimizu S-Pulse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.79%34.21%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.1%70.9%
Score Analysis
    Nagoya Grampus 49%
    Shimizu S-Pulse 25.85%
    Draw 25.13%
Nagoya GrampusDrawShimizu S-Pulse
1-0 @ 11.14%
2-1 @ 9.43%
2-0 @ 8.79%
3-1 @ 4.95%
3-0 @ 4.62%
3-2 @ 2.66%
4-1 @ 1.95%
4-0 @ 1.82%
4-2 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 49%
1-1 @ 11.95%
0-0 @ 7.07%
2-2 @ 5.06%
3-3 @ 0.95%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.13%
0-1 @ 7.59%
1-2 @ 6.41%
0-2 @ 4.07%
1-3 @ 2.29%
2-3 @ 1.81%
0-3 @ 1.46%
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 25.85%