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J1 League | Gameweek 20
Sep 19, 2020 at 10am UK
Kincho Stadium

Cerezo
1 - 2
Kashima Antlers

Mendes (36')
Seko (86')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Alano (32'), Stum (46')
Misao (39')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Cerezo Osaka and Kashima Antlers.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashima Antlers win with a probability of 36.8%. A win for Cerezo Osaka had a probability of 36.13% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kashima Antlers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.05%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest Cerezo Osaka win was 1-0 (10.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kashima Antlers would win this match.

Result
Cerezo OsakaDrawKashima Antlers
36.13%27.06%36.8%
Both teams to score 50.71%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.37%54.63%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.04%75.96%
Cerezo Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.01%28.99%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.11%64.88%
Kashima Antlers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.41%28.59%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.61%64.38%
Score Analysis
    Cerezo Osaka 36.13%
    Kashima Antlers 36.79%
    Draw 27.06%
Cerezo OsakaDrawKashima Antlers
1-0 @ 10.26%
2-1 @ 7.96%
2-0 @ 6.35%
3-1 @ 3.28%
3-0 @ 2.62%
3-2 @ 2.06%
4-1 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 36.13%
1-1 @ 12.85%
0-0 @ 8.29%
2-2 @ 4.98%
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 27.06%
0-1 @ 10.37%
1-2 @ 8.05%
0-2 @ 6.5%
1-3 @ 3.36%
0-3 @ 2.71%
2-3 @ 2.08%
1-4 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 36.79%

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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vissel KobeVissel Kobe38219861362572
2Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima381911872432968
3Machida Zelvia381991054342066
4Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka381812849351466
5Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers381811960411965
6Tokyo Verdy381414105151056
7FC Tokyo38159145351254
8Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki381313126657952
9Yokohama F MarinosYokohama38157166162-152
10Cerezo OsakaCerezo381313124348-552
11Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus38155184447-350
12Avispa Fukuoka381214123338-550
13Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa381212144945448
14Kyoto Sanga381211154355-1247
15Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare38129175358-545
16Albirex Niigata381012164459-1542
17Kashiwa ReysolReysol38914153951-1241
18Jubilo Iwata38108204768-2138
19Consadole SapporoConsadole38910194366-2337
20Sagan Tosu38105234868-2035


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