International Friendlies
Oct 3, 2026 8.00pm
Hammadi Agrebi Stadium

Tunisia vs Mali - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Tunisia

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Jun 6, 2026 2.00pm
Belgium 5 - 0 Tunisia

Mali

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Mar 31, 2026 6.00pm
Russia 0 - 0 Mali

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Tunisia win with a probability of 36.05%. A win for Mali has a probability of 33.75% and a draw has a probability of 30.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tunisia win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (7.35%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Mali win is 0-1 (11.61%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.73%).

Result

Tunisia 36.05% ▲ (+0.19)
Draw 30.23% ▼ (-0.02)
Mali 33.75% ▼ (-0.18)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.81% ▲ (+0.13)

Goals

Over 1.5 64.48% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 1.5 35.52% ▼ (-0.16)
Over 2.5 38% ▲ (+0.29)
Under 2.5 62% ▼ (-0.29)
Over 3.5 18.74% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 3.5 81.26% ▼ (-0.16)
Over 4.5 9.1% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 4.5 90.9% ▼ (-0.08)

First Half Winner

Tunisia 27.09% ▼ (-0.02)
Draw 48.81% ▼ (-0.01)
Mali 24.1% ▲ (+0.03)

Team To Score First

Tunisia 45.09% ▲ (+0.18)
No Goal 11.53% ▼ (-0.09)
Mali 43.38% ▼ (-0.09)

Corners

Over 8 39.11% ▲ (+0.36)
Equal 8 11.48% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 8 49.41% ▼ (-0.40)
Over 9 29.01% ▲ (+0.28)
Equal 9 10.1% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 9 60.89% ▼ (-0.34)
Over 10.5 20.79% ▲ (+0.20)
Under 10.5 79.21% ▼ (-0.21)

Tunisia Goals

Over 1.5 30.06% ▲ (+0.25)
Under 1.5 69.94% ▼ (-0.25)
Over 2.5 10.51% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 2.5 89.49% ▼ (-0.19)
Over 3.5 2.94% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 3.5 97.06% ▼ (-0.07)

Mali Goals

Over 0.5 64.18% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 0.5 35.82% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 1.5 28.66%
Under 1.5 71.34%
Over 2.5 9.63% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 2.5 90.37% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 2.69%
Under 3.5 97.31%

Score analysis

Tunisia 36.04%
Draw 30.23%
Mali 33.76%
Tunisia
1-0 @ 12.41% ▼ (-0.02)
2-1 @ 7.35% ▲ (+0.05)
2-0 @ 6.52%
3-1 @ 2.83% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 2.59% ▲ (+0.07)
3-2 @ 1.54% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.8% ▲ (+0.06)
Total : 36.04%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.73% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 11.53% ▼ (-0.09)
2-2 @ 4.22% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 0.14% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 30.23%
Mali
0-1 @ 11.61% ▼ (-0.09)
1-2 @ 7.04% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 6.23% ▼ (-0.08)
1-3 @ 2.58%
0-3 @ 2.29% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.46% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.55% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 33.76%

Head to Head

Africa Cup of Nations
Jan 3, 2026 7.00pm
1
1
ET Stade Mohamed V
  • Dorgeles Nene 57' yellowcard
  • El Bilal Touré 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Gaoussou Diakité 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Lassine Sinayoko 90'+6' yellowcard
  • Ibrahima Sissoko 110' yellowcard
  • Hamari Traoré 117' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Yassine Meriah 12'
  • yellowcard Elias Achouri 46'
  • yellowcard Elias Saad 70'
  • yellowcard Firas Chaouat 70'
  • yellowcard Mohamed Ali Ben Romdhane 85'
  • goal Firas Chaouat 88'
  • yellowcard Mohamed Ben Ali 111'
Africa Cup of Nations
Jan 20, 2024 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stade Olympique de Rades
  • Hamza Rafia 20' goal
  • Seifeddine Jaziri 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Aissa Laidouni 90'+8' yellowcard
  • goal Lassine Sinayoko 10'
World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Mar 29, 2022 8.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Bechir Ben Said 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Boubakar Kouyate 55'
  • yellowcard Yves Bissouma 69'
World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Mar 25, 2022 5.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Moussa Sissako 40' redcard
  • Boubakar Kouyate 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Moussa Sissako 36' (OG)
  • yellowcard Seifeddine Jaziri 49'
  • yellowcard Nader Ghandri 55'
Africa Cup of Nations
Jan 12, 2022 1.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Hamza Mathlouthi 22' yellowcard
  • Ellyes Skhiri 47' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Hamari Traore 18'
  • yellowcard Moussa Djenepo 33'
  • goal Ibrahima Kone 48'
  • redcard El Bilal Toure 87'
International Friendlies
Jun 15, 2021 8.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Olympique de Radès
  • Aissa Laidouni 66' yellowcard
  • Anis Ben Slimane 90' goal
  • Issam Jebali 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard El Bilal Toure 22'
  • yellowcard Boubakar Kouyate 32'
  • redcard El Bilal Toure 32'
  • yellowcard Kalifa Coulibaly 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Siaka Bagayoko 73'
  • redcard Boubakar Kouyate 90'+3'