Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying Gameweek 1
Sep 25, 2026 8.00pm
Stade 26 Mars

Mali vs Cape Verde - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Mali

All competitions

Cape Verde

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Mali win with a probability of 51.44%. A draw has a probability of 25.92% and a win for Cape Verde has a probability of 22.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mali win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.85%) and 2-1 (8.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.5%) , while for a Cape Verde win it is 0-1 (8.39%).

Result

Mali 51.44%
Draw 25.92%
Cape Verde 22.64%

Both Teams to Score: 

44.48%

Goals

Over 1.5 68.43%
Under 1.5 31.57%
Over 2.5 42.48%
Under 2.5 57.52%
Over 3.5 23.27%
Under 3.5 76.73%
Over 4.5 13.06%
Under 4.5 86.94%

First Half Winner

Mali 35.34%
Draw 45.07%
Cape Verde 19.6%

Team To Score First

Mali 58.65%
No Goal 9.31%
Cape Verde 32.04%

Corners

Over 8 40.87%
Equal 8 11.62%
Under 8 47.51%
Over 9 30.5%
Equal 9 10.37%
Under 9 59.13%
Over 10.5 21.93%
Under 10.5 78.07%

Mali Goals

Over 1.5 43.1%
Under 1.5 56.9%
Over 2.5 19.68%
Under 2.5 80.32%
Over 3.5 7.26%
Under 3.5 92.74%

Cape Verde Goals

Over 0.5 54.83%
Under 0.5 45.17%
Over 1.5 20.55%
Under 1.5 79.45%
Over 2.5 6.01%
Under 2.5 93.99%
Over 3.5 1.74%
Under 3.5 98.26%

Score analysis

Mali 51.44%
Draw 25.94%
Cape Verde 22.64%
Mali
1-0 @ 13.89%
2-0 @ 9.85%
2-1 @ 8.51%
3-0 @ 4.89%
3-1 @ 4.88%
3-2 @ 2.17%
Other @ 7.25%
Total : 51.44%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.5%
0-0 @ 9.31%
2-2 @ 3.64%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 25.94%
Cape Verde
0-1 @ 8.39%
1-2 @ 5.15%
0-2 @ 3.58%
1-3 @ 1.71%
2-3 @ 1.42%
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 22.64%