Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Gameweek
1
-
Martial Tia
5'
-
Dorgeles Nene
39'
-
Dorgeles Nene
51'
-
Aliou Dieng
82'
-
Sidny Lopes Cabral 10'
-
Roberto Lopes 47'
-
Kevin Lenini 58'
Mali vs Cape Verde - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mali win with a probability of 51.44%. A draw had a probability of 25.92% and a win for Cape Verde had a probability of 22.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mali win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.84%) and 2-1 (8.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.49%) , while for a Cape Verde win it was 0-1 (8.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
Result
Mali
51.44%
Draw
25.92%
Cape Verde
22.64%
Both Teams to Score:
44.48%
Goals
Over 1.5
68.42%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 1.5
31.58%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 2.5
42.52%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 2.5
57.48%
▼
(-0.05)
Over 3.5
23.27%
Under 3.5
76.73%
Over 4.5
13.06%
Under 4.5
86.94%
First Half Winner
Mali
35.34%
Draw
45.07%
Cape Verde
19.6%
Team To Score First
Mali
58.65%
No Goal
9.31%
Cape Verde
32.04%
Corners
Over 8
40.87%
Equal 8
11.62%
Under 8
47.51%
Over 9
30.5%
Equal 9
10.37%
Under 9
59.13%
Over 10.5
21.93%
Under 10.5
78.07%
Mali Goals
Over 1.5
43.1%
Under 1.5
56.9%
Over 2.5
19.68%
Under 2.5
80.32%
Over 3.5
7.26%
Under 3.5
92.74%
Cape Verde Goals
Over 0.5
54.83%
Under 0.5
45.17%
Over 1.5
20.55%
Under 1.5
79.45%
Over 2.5
6.01%
Under 2.5
93.99%
Over 3.5
1.74%
Under 3.5
98.26%
Score analysis
Mali
51.43%
Draw
25.93%
Cape Verde
22.64%
Mali
1-0
@
13.88%
▼
(-0.01)
2-0 @ 9.84% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.52% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.89%
3-1 @ 4.88%
3-2 @ 2.17%
Other @ 7.25%
Total : 51.43%
2-0 @ 9.84% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.52% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.89%
3-1 @ 4.88%
3-2 @ 2.17%
Other @ 7.25%
Total : 51.43%
Draw
1-1
@
12.49%
▼
(-0.01)
0-0 @ 9.31%
2-2 @ 3.64%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 25.93%
0-0 @ 9.31%
2-2 @ 3.64%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 25.93%
Cape Verde
0-1
@
8.39%
1-2 @ 5.16% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.57% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.7% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.42%
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 22.64%
1-2 @ 5.16% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.57% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.7% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.42%
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 22.64%