International Friendlies
Mar 31, 2026 6.00pm
Gazprom Arena

Russia vs Mali - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Russia

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Mar 27, 2026 4.30pm
Russia 3 - 1 Nicaragua

Mali

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Russia win with a probability of 60.43%. A draw has a probability of 23.7% and a win for Mali has a probability of 15.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Russia win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (12.22%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.9%) , while for a Mali win it is 0-1 (6.29%).

Result

Russia 60.43%
Draw 23.7% (-0.04)
Mali 15.87%

Both Teams to Score: 

42.51%

Goals

Over 1.5 70.33% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 29.67% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 44.73% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 55.27% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 23.69% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 76.31% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 14.36% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 85.64% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Russia 42.48%
Draw 38.52%
Mali 19%

Team To Score First

Russia 60.05% (+0.01)
No Goal 8.83% (-0.01)
Mali 31.12%

Corners

Over 8 31.46%
Equal 8 10.6%
Under 8 57.94% (-0.02)
Over 9 22.74%
Equal 9 8.72%
Under 9 68.54%
Over 10.5 16.06%
Under 10.5 83.94%

Russia Goals

Over 1.5 50.64% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 49.36% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 24.66% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 75.34% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 10.35% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 89.65% (-0.01)

Mali Goals

Over 0.5 47.18%
Under 0.5 52.82%
Over 1.5 15.54% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 84.46% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 3.62% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 96.38% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 0.75% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 99.25% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Russia 60.44%
Draw 23.69%
Mali 15.87%
Russia
1-0 @ 14.55% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 12.22%
2-1 @ 9.52%
3-0 @ 6.89%
3-1 @ 4.93% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2% (+0.02)
Other @ 10.33% (+0.01)
Total : 60.44%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.9% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 8.83% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 3.45% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.02%
Total : 23.69%
Mali
0-1 @ 6.29% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 3.99%
0-2 @ 2.48%
Other @ 0.73% (+0.02)
Total : 15.87%