Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Russia win with a probability of 60.43%. A draw has a probability of 23.7% and a win for Mali has a probability of 15.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Russia win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (12.22%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.9%) , while for a Mali win it is 0-1 (6.29%).