International Friendlies
Mar 31, 2026 6.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Gazprom Arena
  • Ivan Oblyakov 28' yellowcard
  • Maksim Petrov 64' yellowcard
  • Mingiyan Beveev 64' yellowcard
  • Nikolay Komlichenko 64' yellowcard
  • Danil Prutsev 77' yellowcard
  • Kirill Glebov 77' yellowcard
  • Evgeniy Morozov 86' yellowcard
  • Lechi Sadulaev 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ousmane Diakité 64'
  • yellowcard Mamadou Camara 84'
  • yellowcard Gaoussou Diarra 84'
  • yellowcard Soumaïla Diabaté 90'+4'

Russia vs Mali - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Russia

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Mar 27, 2026 4.30pm
Russia 3 - 1 Nicaragua

Mali

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Russia win with a probability of 60.36%. A draw had a probability of 23.73% and a win for Mali had a probability of 15.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Russia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.18%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.91%) , while for a Mali win it was 0-1 (6.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.

Result

Russia 60.36% (-0.08)
Draw 23.73% (+0.04)
Mali 15.91% (+0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

42.54% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.34% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 29.66% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 44.73%
Under 2.5 55.27%
Over 3.5 23.7% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 76.3% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 14.37% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 85.63% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Russia 42.48%
Draw 38.52%
Mali 19%

Team To Score First

Russia 60.04% (-0.01)
No Goal 8.84% (+0.01)
Mali 31.12%

Corners

Over 8 31.44% (-0.02)
Equal 8 10.59% (-0.01)
Under 8 57.97% (+0.04)
Over 9 22.73% (-0.01)
Equal 9 8.71% (-0.01)
Under 9 68.56% (+0.02)
Over 10.5 16.06%
Under 10.5 83.94%

Russia Goals

Over 1.5 50.61% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 49.39% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 24.66%
Under 2.5 75.34%
Over 3.5 10.35%
Under 3.5 89.65%

Mali Goals

Over 0.5 47.27% (+0.10)
Under 0.5 52.73% (-0.10)
Over 1.5 15.6% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 84.4% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 3.65% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 96.35% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 0.76% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 99.24% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Russia 60.38%
Draw 23.74%
Mali 15.92%
Russia
1-0 @ 14.55%
2-0 @ 12.18% (-0.05)
2-1 @ 9.52%
3-0 @ 6.88% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.93%
3-2 @ 2%
Other @ 10.32% (-0.01)
Total : 60.38%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.91% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 8.84% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 3.46% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.03% (+0.01)
Total : 23.74%
Mali
0-1 @ 6.31% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 4% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.49% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 15.92%