Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying Gameweek 2
Sep 29, 2026 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Mo Sangare 22' yellowcard
  • Sabastine Teclar 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ousmane Camara 75'
  • goal Martial Tia 79'

Liberia vs Mali - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Liberia

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Sep 25, 2026 5.00pm
Rwanda 3 - 1 Liberia

Mali

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Sep 25, 2026 8.00pm
Mali 3 - 1 Cape Verde

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Mali win with a probability of 41.12%. A draw has a probability of 32.13% and a win for Liberia has a probability of 26.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mali win is 0-1 with a probability of 13.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (8.05%) and 1-2 (7.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 0-0 (14.25%) , while for a Liberia win it is 1-0 (10.2%).

Result

Liberia 26.75% ▲ (+0.20)
Draw 32.13% ▲ (+0.04)
Mali 41.12% ▼ (-0.24)

Both Teams to Score: 

41.36% ▲ (+0.07)

Goals

Over 1.5 62.18% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 1.5 37.82% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 2.5 36.25%
Under 2.5 63.75%
Over 3.5 17.28%
Under 3.5 82.68%
Over 4.5 8.68%
Under 4.5 91.32%

First Half Winner

Liberia 22.19% ▲ (+0.02)
Draw 52.01%
Mali 25.8% ▼ (-0.01)

Team To Score First

Liberia 39.64%
No Goal 14.25%
Mali 46.11%

Corners

Over 8 24.58%
Equal 8 9.9%
Under 8 65.53%
Over 9 16.98%
Equal 9 7.6%
Under 9 75.42%
Over 10.5 11.51%
Under 10.5 88.49%

Liberia Goals

Over 1.5 22.72% ▲ (+0.20)
Under 1.5 77.28% ▼ (-0.21)
Over 2.5 7.02% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 2.5 92.98% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 3.5 1.8% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 98.2% ▼ (-0.04)

Mali Goals

Over 0.5 67.75% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 0.5 32.25% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 1.5 33.38% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 1.5 66.62% ▲ (+0.16)
Over 2.5 12.92% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 2.5 87.08% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 3.5 3.88% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 3.5 96.12% ▲ (+0.05)

Score analysis

Liberia 26.75%
Draw 32.14%
Mali 41.13%
Liberia
1-0 @ 10.2% ▲ (+0.05)
2-1 @ 5.88% ▲ (+0.05)
2-0 @ 4.6% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 1.83% ▲ (+0.04)
3-0 @ 1.68% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 1.02% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 1.54% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 26.75%
Draw
0-0 @ 14.25%
1-1 @ 13.27% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 3.67% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.26% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 32.14%
Mali
0-1 @ 13.39% ▼ (-0.04)
0-2 @ 8.05% ▼ (-0.06)
1-2 @ 7.72% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 3.68% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 3.12% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.55%
Other @ 3.62% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 41.13%