/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fliblog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fmallog_2.png)
-
Mo Sangare
22'
-
Sabastine Teclar
90'+4'
-
Ousmane Camara
75'
-
Martial Tia
79'
Liberia vs Mali - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mali win with a probability of 41.12%. A draw had a probability of 32.13% and a win for Liberia had a probability of 26.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mali win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.05%) and 1-2 (7.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.25%) , while for a Liberia win it was 1-0 (10.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.
Result
Liberia
26.75%
▲
(+0.20)
Draw
32.13%
▲
(+0.04)
Mali
41.12%
▼
(-0.24)
Both Teams to Score:
41.36%
▲
(+0.07)
Goals
Over 1.5
62.18%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 1.5
37.82%
▼
(-0.03)
Over 2.5
36.25%
Under 2.5
63.75%
Over 3.5
17.28%
Under 3.5
82.68%
Over 4.5
8.68%
Under 4.5
91.32%
First Half Winner
Liberia
22.19%
▲
(+0.02)
Draw
52.01%
Mali
25.8%
▼
(-0.01)
Team To Score First
Liberia
39.64%
No Goal
14.25%
Mali
46.11%
Corners
Over 8
24.58%
Equal 8
9.9%
Under 8
65.53%
Over 9
16.98%
Equal 9
7.6%
Under 9
75.42%
Over 10.5
11.51%
Under 10.5
88.49%
Liberia Goals
Over 1.5
22.72%
▲
(+0.20)
Under 1.5
77.28%
▼
(-0.21)
Over 2.5
7.02%
▲
(+0.10)
Under 2.5
92.98%
▼
(-0.10)
Over 3.5
1.8%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 3.5
98.2%
▼
(-0.04)
Mali Goals
Over 0.5
67.75%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 0.5
32.25%
▲
(+0.11)
Over 1.5
33.38%
▼
(-0.15)
Under 1.5
66.62%
▲
(+0.16)
Over 2.5
12.92%
▼
(-0.09)
Under 2.5
87.08%
▲
(+0.10)
Over 3.5
3.88%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 3.5
96.12%
▲
(+0.05)
Score analysis
Liberia
26.75%
Draw
32.14%
Mali
41.13%
Liberia
1-0
@
10.2%
▲
(+0.05)
2-1 @ 5.88% ▲ (+0.05)
2-0 @ 4.6% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 1.83% ▲ (+0.04)
3-0 @ 1.68% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 1.02% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 1.54% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 26.75%
2-1 @ 5.88% ▲ (+0.05)
2-0 @ 4.6% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 1.83% ▲ (+0.04)
3-0 @ 1.68% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 1.02% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 1.54% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 26.75%
Draw
0-0
@
14.25%
1-1 @ 13.27% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 3.67% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.26% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 32.14%
1-1 @ 13.27% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 3.67% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.26% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 32.14%
Mali
0-1
@
13.39%
▼
(-0.04)
0-2 @ 8.05% ▼ (-0.06)
1-2 @ 7.72% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 3.68% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 3.12% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.55%
Other @ 3.62% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 41.13%
0-2 @ 8.05% ▼ (-0.06)
1-2 @ 7.72% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 3.68% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 3.12% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.55%
Other @ 3.62% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 41.13%