Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liberia win with a probability of 37.23%. A win for Libya had a probability of 33.26% and a draw had a probability of 29.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liberia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.6%) and 2-0 (6.41%). The likeliest Libya win was 0-1 (10.77%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.