Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Libya win with a probability of 42.95%. A win for Niger had a probability of 29.43% and a draw had a probability of 27.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Libya win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.22%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Niger win was 0-1 (8.8%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.