Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liberia win with a probability of 39.65%. A win for Sierra Leone had a probability of 31.21% and a draw had a probability of 29.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liberia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.03%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Sierra Leone win was 0-1 (9.99%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.