Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liberia win with a probability of 37.2%. A win for Mauritania had a probability of 35.2% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liberia win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.83%) and 0-2 (6.46%). The likeliest Mauritania win was 1-0 (10.4%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.