Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Angola win with a probability of 56.18%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Mauritania had a probability of 16.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Angola win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.52%) and 2-1 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.88%) , while for a Mauritania win it was 0-1 (7.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.