Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palestine win with a probability of 37.2%. A win for Mauritania had a probability of 34.3% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palestine win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.71%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Mauritania win was 0-1 (11.42%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.