Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mauritania win with a probability of 38.12%. A win for Niger had a probability of 33.76% and a draw had a probability of 28.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mauritania win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.04%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest Niger win was 0-1 (10.1%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.