International Friendlies
Jun 8, 2026 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Père-Jégo
  • Idrissa Thiam 90'+6' goal

Mauritania vs Niger - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Mauritania

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Jun 5, 2026 8.00pm
Angola 1 - 1 Mauritania

Niger

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Jun 5, 2026 7.00pm
Benin 1 - 1 Niger

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mauritania win with a probability of 38.12%. A win for Niger had a probability of 33.76% and a draw had a probability of 28.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mauritania win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.04%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest Niger win was 0-1 (10.1%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.

Result

Mauritania 38.12% (+0.24)
Draw 28.12% (+0.11)
Niger 33.76% (-0.34)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.18% (-0.26)

Goals

Over 1.5 68.72% (-0.22)
Under 1.5 31.28% (+0.23)
Over 2.5 45% (-0.33)
Under 2.5 55% (+0.33)
Over 3.5 25.06% (-0.34)
Under 3.5 74.94% (+0.33)
Over 4.5 13.95% (-0.25)
Under 4.5 86.05% (+0.25)

First Half Winner

Mauritania 31.22%
Draw 49.26%
Niger 19.53%

Team To Score First

Mauritania 55.45% (-0.06)
No Goal 10.4% (+0.09)
Niger 34.15% (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 22.99%
Equal 8 9.18%
Under 8 67.83%
Over 9 16.08%
Equal 9 6.91%
Under 9 77.01%
Over 10.5 11.18%
Under 10.5 88.82%

Mauritania Goals

Over 1.5 35.3% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 64.7% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 14.15% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 85.85% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 5.04% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 94.96% (+0.05)

Niger Goals

Over 0.5 65.02% (-0.33)
Under 0.5 34.98% (+0.33)
Over 1.5 31.6% (-0.41)
Under 1.5 68.4% (+0.42)
Over 2.5 12.48% (-0.26)
Under 2.5 87.52% (+0.26)
Over 3.5 4% (-0.13)
Under 3.5 96% (+0.13)

Score analysis

Mauritania 38.12%
Draw 28.12%
Niger 33.75%
Mauritania
1-0 @ 10.77% (+0.16)
2-1 @ 8.04% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 6.35% (+0.09)
3-1 @ 3.4% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 2.66% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 2.11% (-0.04)
Other @ 4.79% (-0.05)
Total : 38.12%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.88% (+0.08)
0-0 @ 10.4% (+0.09)
2-2 @ 4.65% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.25% (-0.02)
Total : 28.12%
Niger
0-1 @ 10.1% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 6.86% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 5.5% (-0.05)
1-3 @ 3.05% (-0.06)
0-3 @ 2.38% (-0.04)
2-3 @ 2.11% (-0.05)
Other @ 3.75% (-0.11)
Total : 33.75%