Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Niger win with a probability of 38.98%. A win for Togo had a probability of 33.28% and a draw had a probability of 27.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Niger win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.89%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest Togo win was 0-1 (10.2%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.