World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Mar 25, 2025 9.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Pape Sarr 35' goal
  • Kevin Boma 67' goal
  • yellowcard Josue Homawoo 48'
  • yellowcard Djene Dakonam 76'

Senegal vs Togo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Senegal

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last game
Mar 22, 2025 7.00pm
Sudan 0 - 0 Senegal

Togo

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last game
Mar 22, 2025 4.00pm
Togo 2 - 2 Mauritania

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 68.77%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Togo had a probability of 10.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.63%) and 3-0 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.31%), while for a Togo win it was 0-1 (4.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 14.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Senegal would win this match.

Result

Senegal 68.77% (-2.18)
Draw 20.31% (+1.19)
Togo 10.93% (+1.00)

Both Teams to Score: 

39.21% (-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 46.74% (-2.08)
Under 2.5 53.26% (+2.09)
Over 3.5 25.19% (-1.80)
Under 3.5 74.81% (+1.80)
Over 4.5 11.48% (-1.16)
Under 4.5 88.52% (+1.17)

Senegal Goals

Over 0.5 85.49% (-1.32)
Under 0.5 14.51% (+1.32)
Over 1.5 57.48% (-2.60)
Under 1.5 42.52% (+2.60)

Togo Goals

Over 0.5 45.86% (+0.67)
Under 0.5 54.14% (-0.67)
Over 1.5 12.64% (+0.41)
Under 1.5 87.36% (-0.41)

Score analysis

Senegal 68.76%
Draw 20.31%
Togo 10.93%
Senegal
1-0 @ 15.16% (+0.52)
2-0 @ 14.63% (-0.19)
3-0 @ 9.42% (-0.60)
2-1 @ 8.98% (+0.07)
3-1 @ 5.78% (-0.25)
4-0 @ 4.54% (-0.53)
4-1 @ 2.79% (-0.26)
3-2 @ 1.77% (-0.04)
5-0 @ 1.75% (-0.30)
5-1 @ 1.08% (-0.16)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 68.76%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.31% (+0.50)
0-0 @ 7.86% (+0.63)
2-2 @ 2.76% (+0.08)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 20.31%
Togo
0-1 @ 4.82% (+0.48)
1-2 @ 2.86% (+0.21)
0-2 @ 1.48% (+0.18)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 10.93%

Head to Head

World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Nov 21, 2023 4.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stade de Kegue
  • Alaixys Romao 29' yellowcard
  • Djene Dakonam 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Idrissa Gueye 68'
  • yellowcard Ismail Jakobs 72'
World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Nov 11, 2021 7.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Alaixys Romao 39' yellowcard
  • Pape Abou Cisse 45'+1' goal
  • Klousseh Agbozo 56' yellowcard
  • Wassiou Ouro-Gneni 88' yellowcard
  • Paulo Duarte 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Habib Diallo 90'+3'
World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Sep 1, 2021 5.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Sadio Mane 56' goal
  • Saliou Ciss 66' yellowcard
  • Abdou Diallo 81' goal
  • yellowcard Kangnivi Ama Tchoutchoui 77'