Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 68.77%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Togo had a probability of 10.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.63%) and 3-0 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.31%), while for a Togo win it was 0-1 (4.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 14.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Senegal would win this match.