We said: Senegal 2-1 Togo
Senegal may have dropped points in previous matches, but with the World Cup qualifiers now at the halfway stage, their sense of urgency will be heightened, and backed by their home support, we expect their quality to shine through and guide them to victory in this crucial encounter.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 68.77%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Togo had a probability of 10.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.63%) and 3-0 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.31%), while for a Togo win it was 0-1 (4.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 14.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Senegal would win this match.