Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Niger win with a probability of 37.1%. A win for Benin had a probability of 36.3% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Niger win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.67%) and 0-2 (5.89%). The likeliest Benin win was 1-0 (9.6%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.