International Friendlies
Jun 6, 2026 5.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT National Stadium
  • Abdoulie Jarjue Kabia 67' goal

Sierra Leone vs Liberia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sierra Leone

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Mar 27, 2026 11.00am
Oman 0 - 0 Sierra Leone

Liberia

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Jun 5, 2026 1.00am
Liberia 0 - 0 Benin

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sierra Leone win with a probability of 44.13%. A win for Liberia had a probability of 28.52% and a draw had a probability of 27.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sierra Leone win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.25%) and 2-1 (8.23%). The likeliest Liberia win was 0-1 (8.9%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.

Result

Sierra Leone 44.13% (-0.93)
Draw 27.32% (+0.45)
Liberia 28.52% (+0.45)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.21% (-0.16)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.03% (-0.38)
Under 1.5 30.97% (+0.38)
Over 2.5 44.46% (-0.39)
Under 2.5 55.54% (+0.39)
Over 3.5 24.58% (-0.21)
Under 3.5 75.42% (+0.21)
Over 4.5 13.64% (-0.17)
Under 4.5 86.36% (+0.16)

First Half Winner

Sierra Leone 31.71% (-1.91)
Draw 49.12% (+1.58)
Liberia 19.16% (+0.34)

Team To Score First

Sierra Leone 53.94% (-0.49)
No Goal 9.68% (+0.20)
Liberia 36.38% (+0.29)

Corners

Over 8 7.57% (-1.07)
Equal 8 2.55% (-0.59)
Under 8 89.88% (+1.65)
Over 9 5.96% (-0.70)
Equal 9 1.62% (-0.36)
Under 9 92.43% (+1.07)
Over 10.5 4.84% (-0.49)
Under 10.5 95.16% (+0.48)

Sierra Leone Goals

Over 1.5 39.33% (-0.74)
Under 1.5 60.67% (+0.74)
Over 2.5 16.4% (-0.47)
Under 2.5 83.6% (+0.46)
Over 3.5 5.65% (-0.19)
Under 3.5 94.35% (+0.19)

Liberia Goals

Over 0.5 60.55% (+0.46)
Under 0.5 39.45% (-0.46)
Over 1.5 27.49% (+0.34)
Under 1.5 72.51% (-0.34)
Over 2.5 10.15% (+0.19)
Under 2.5 89.85% (-0.20)
Over 3.5 3.13% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 96.87% (-0.08)

Score analysis

Sierra Leone 44.13%
Draw 27.33%
Liberia 28.52%
Sierra Leone
1-0 @ 12.37% (-0.06)
2-0 @ 8.25% (-0.23)
2-1 @ 8.23% (-0.10)
3-1 @ 3.93% (-0.11)
3-0 @ 3.68% (-0.17)
3-2 @ 2.22% (-0.05)
Other @ 5.45% (-0.25)
Total : 44.13%
Draw
1-1 @ 12% (+0.11)
0-0 @ 9.68% (+0.20)
2-2 @ 4.53% (+0.05)
Other @ 0.2% (+0.06)
Total : 27.33%
Liberia
0-1 @ 8.9% (+0.22)
1-2 @ 6.28% (+0.07)
0-2 @ 4.31% (+0.09)
1-3 @ 2.49% (+0.04)
2-3 @ 1.92%
0-3 @ 1.69% (+0.04)
Other @ 2.93% (+0.04)
Total : 28.52%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
Mar 27, 2022 1.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT TBC