Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sierra Leone win with a probability of 44.13%. A win for Liberia had a probability of 28.52% and a draw had a probability of 27.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sierra Leone win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.25%) and 2-1 (8.23%). The likeliest Liberia win was 0-1 (8.9%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.