International Friendlies
Mar 30, 2026 4.00pm
Bakı Olimpiya Stadionu

Azerbaijan vs Sierra Leone - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Azerbaijan

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Mar 27, 2026 3.00pm
Azerbaijan 6 - 1 St Lucia

Sierra Leone

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Azerbaijan win with a probability of 38.19%. A win for Sierra Leone has a probability of 35.25% and a draw has a probability of 26.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Azerbaijan win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.26%) and 2-0 (6.16%). The likeliest Sierra Leone win is 0-1 (8.88%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.02%).

Result

Azerbaijan 38.19% (+0.06)
Draw 26.53% (-0.03)
Sierra Leone 35.25% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.22% (+0.07)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.3% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 25.7% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 50.46% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 49.51% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 28.76% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 71.24% (-0.08)
Over 4.5 16.12% (+0.07)
Under 4.5 83.88% (-0.07)

First Half Winner

Azerbaijan 30.33%
Draw 40.63%
Sierra Leone 29.04%

Team To Score First

Azerbaijan 50.58% (+0.01)
No Goal 7.57% (-0.02)
Sierra Leone 41.85% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 37.93% (+0.04)
Equal 8 10.86%
Under 8 51.2% (-0.06)
Over 9 28.44% (+0.04)
Equal 9 9.49% (+0.01)
Under 9 62.07% (-0.04)
Over 10.5 20.76% (+0.03)
Under 10.5 79.24% (-0.03)

Azerbaijan Goals

Over 1.5 38.12% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 61.88% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 16% (+0.07)
Under 2.5 84% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 5.29% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 94.71% (-0.04)

Sierra Leone Goals

Over 0.5 68.93% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 31.07% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 35.94% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 64.06% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 14.26%
Under 2.5 85.74%
Over 3.5 5.07% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 94.93% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Azerbaijan 38.2%
Draw 26.54%
Sierra Leone 35.24%
Azerbaijan
1-0 @ 9.23%
2-1 @ 8.26%
2-0 @ 6.16% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.83% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 3.06%
3-2 @ 2.63% (+0.01)
Other @ 5.03% (+0.04)
Total : 38.2%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.02%
0-0 @ 7.57% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.5%
3-3 @ 1.19%
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 26.54%
Sierra Leone
0-1 @ 8.88% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 7.89% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 5.66% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.31%
0-3 @ 2.49% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.2% (+0.02)
Other @ 4.81% (+0.01)
Total : 35.24%