Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Azerbaijan win with a probability of 38.74%. A win for Saint Lucia had a probability of 37.47% and a draw had a probability of 23.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Azerbaijan win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.44%) and 2-0 (5.6%). The likeliest Saint Lucia win was 1-2 (8.05%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.66%).