World Cup Qualifying - North Central America Gameweek 4
Jun 7, 2025 12.30am
4
0
HT : 0 0
FT

Curacao vs Saint Lucia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Curacao

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Last game
Jun 9, 2024 1.00am
Aruba 0 - 2 Curacao

Saint Lucia

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Last game
Jun 11, 2024 8.00pm
St Lucia 2 - 2 Aruba

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Curacao win with a probability of 80.16%. A draw has a probability of 12.6% and a win for Saint Lucia has a probability of 7.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Curacao win is 2-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 3-0 (10.37%) and 2-1 (8.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (5.85%), while for a Saint Lucia win it is 1-2 (2.24%).

Result

Curacao 80.16% (+0.01)
Draw 12.62% (-0.01)
Saint Lucia 7.22% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.44% (-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 70.11% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 29.88% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 48.94% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 51.05% (+0.01)
Over 4.5 29.78% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 70.22% (+0.01)

Curacao Goals

Over 0.5 94.24% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 5.75% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 77.82% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 22.17% (-0.01)

Saint Lucia Goals

Over 0.5 53.52% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 46.47% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 17.91% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 82.08% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Curacao 80.15%
Draw 12.62%
Saint Lucia 7.22%
Curacao
2-0 @ 10.89%
3-0 @ 10.37%
2-1 @ 8.35% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 7.95% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 7.63% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 7.41% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 5.68% (-0.01)
5-0 @ 4.23% (+0.01)
5-1 @ 3.24%
3-2 @ 3.05% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 2.18% (-0.01)
6-0 @ 2.01% (+0.01)
6-1 @ 1.54%
5-2 @ 1.24% (-0.01)
Other @ 4.38%
Total : 80.15%
Draw
1-1 @ 5.85%
2-2 @ 3.2% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 2.67%
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 12.62%
Saint Lucia
1-2 @ 2.24% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 2.05%
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 7.22%

Head to Head

CONCACAF Nations League
Nov 18, 2024 11.00pm
4
1
HT : 4 2
FT Stadion Ergilio Hato
  • Gervane Kastaneer 27' goal
  • Gervane Kastaneer 27' goal
  • Gervane Kastaneer 30' goal
  • Gervane Kastaneer 30' goal
  • Juninho Bacuna 73' goal
  • Juninho Bacuna 73' goal
  • Juninho Bacuna 79' goal
  • Juninho Bacuna 79' goal
  • goal Ryan Charles 28'
  • goal Ryan Charles 28'
  • yellowcard Melvin Doxilly 50'
  • yellowcard Melvin Doxilly 50'
CONCACAF Nations League
Sep 6, 2024 10.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Kirani James National Stadium
  • Arkell Jude-Boyd 24' goal
  • Caniggia Elva 55' goal
  • Melvin Doxilly 64' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jurien Gaari 29'
  • goal Joshua Brenet 63'
  • yellowcard Leandro Bacuna 90'+4'