Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying Gameweek 1
Sep 25, 2026 5.00pm
Stade Amahoro

Rwanda vs Liberia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Rwanda

All competitions

Liberia

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Rwanda win with a probability of 50.5%. A draw has a probability of 26.13% and a win for Liberia has a probability of 23.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rwanda win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.1%) and 2-1 (8.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.28%) , while for a Liberia win it is 0-1 (8.21%).

Result

Rwanda 50.5%
Draw 26.13%
Liberia 23.37%

Both Teams to Score: 

40.05%

Goals

Over 1.5 67.74%
Under 1.5 32.26%
Over 2.5 42.66%
Under 2.5 57.34%
Over 3.5 22.19%
Under 3.5 77.81%
Over 4.5 12.65%
Under 4.5 87.35%

First Half Winner

Rwanda 41.35%
Draw 45.37%
Liberia 13.28%

Team To Score First

Rwanda 66.73%
No Goal 10.44%
Liberia 22.83%

Corners

Over 8 27.48%
Equal 8 10.85%
Under 8 61.67%
Over 9 18.92%
Equal 9 8.56%
Under 9 72.52%
Over 10.5 12.64%
Under 10.5 87.36%

Rwanda Goals

Over 1.5 42.56%
Under 1.5 57.44%
Over 2.5 19.24%
Under 2.5 80.76%
Over 3.5 7.28%
Under 3.5 92.72%

Liberia Goals

Over 0.5 53.06%
Under 0.5 46.94%
Over 1.5 21.15%
Under 1.5 78.85%
Over 2.5 7.28%
Under 2.5 92.72%
Over 3.5 2.09%
Under 3.5 97.91%

Score analysis

Rwanda 50.51%
Draw 26.12%
Liberia 23.38%
Rwanda
1-0 @ 13.62%
2-0 @ 10.1%
2-1 @ 8.34%
3-0 @ 5.69%
3-1 @ 4.08%
3-2 @ 1.58%
Other @ 7.1%
Total : 50.51%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.28%
0-0 @ 10.44%
2-2 @ 3.61%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 26.12%
Liberia
0-1 @ 8.21%
1-2 @ 4.99%
0-2 @ 3.69%
1-3 @ 1.85%
0-3 @ 1.46%
2-3 @ 1.27%
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 23.38%