Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying Gameweek 1
Sep 24, 2026 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Hammadi Agrebi Stadium
  • Adem Arous 12' goal
  • Sadok Kadida 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Rogers Mato 68'
  • yellowcard Aziz Kayondo 90'+2'

Tunisia vs Uganda - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Tunisia

All competitions

Uganda

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tunisia win with a probability of 53.04%. A draw had a probability of 24.12% and a win for Uganda had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tunisia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.49%) , while for a Uganda win it was 0-1 (7.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.

Result

Tunisia 53.04%
Draw 24.12%
Uganda 22.8%

Both Teams to Score: 

50.17%

Goals

Over 1.5 73.82%
Under 1.5 26.18%
Over 2.5 50.03%
Under 2.5 49.97%
Over 3.5 28.32%
Under 3.5 71.67%
Over 4.5 16.5%
Under 4.5 83.5%

First Half Winner

Tunisia 36.9%
Draw 44.07%
Uganda 19.03%

Team To Score First

Tunisia 58.57%
No Goal 7.31%
Uganda 34.12%

Corners

Over 8 27.18%
Equal 8 9.76%
Under 8 63.06%
Over 9 19.48%
Equal 9 7.7%
Under 9 72.82%
Over 10.5 13.8%
Under 10.5 86.2%

Tunisia Goals

Over 1.5 48.13%
Under 1.5 51.87%
Over 2.5 23.73%
Under 2.5 76.27%
Over 3.5 9.11%
Under 3.5 90.89%

Uganda Goals

Over 0.5 57.55%
Under 0.5 42.45%
Over 1.5 24.02%
Under 1.5 75.98%
Over 2.5 7.59%
Under 2.5 92.41%
Over 3.5 2.05%
Under 3.5 97.95%

Score analysis

Tunisia 53.04%
Draw 24.11%
Uganda 22.81%
Tunisia
1-0 @ 11.8%
2-1 @ 9.58%
2-0 @ 8.84%
3-1 @ 5.43%
3-0 @ 5.39%
3-2 @ 2.93%
Other @ 9.07%
Total : 53.04%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.49%
0-0 @ 7.31%
2-2 @ 4.4%
Other @ 0.04%
Total : 24.11%
Uganda
0-1 @ 7.03%
1-2 @ 5.64%
0-2 @ 3.46%
1-3 @ 1.99%
2-3 @ 1.58%
0-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 22.81%

Head to Head

Africa Cup of Nations Gameweek 1
Dec 23, 2025 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Stade Prince Moulay Abdallah
  • Ellyes Skhiri 10' goal
  • Elias Achouri 40' goal
  • Elias Saad 50' yellowcard
  • Elias Achouri 64' goal
  • yellowcard Aziz Kayondo 14'
  • yellowcard Baba Alhassan 71'
  • goal Denis Omedi 90'+2'