International Friendlies
Mar 26, 2026 12.00am
Mandela National Stadium

Uganda vs Bahrain - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Uganda

All competitions

Bahrain

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uganda win with a probability of 45.49%. A win for Bahrain had a probability of 28.4% and a draw had a probability of 26.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uganda win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (8.31%). The likeliest Bahrain win was 0-1 (7.97%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.

Result

Uganda 45.49%
Draw 26.14%
Bahrain 28.4%

Both Teams to Score: 

50.3%

Goals

Over 1.5 71.46%
Under 1.5 28.54%
Over 2.5 47.08%
Under 2.5 52.92%
Over 3.5 25.93%
Under 3.5 74.03%
Over 4.5 14.63%
Under 4.5 85.37%

First Half Winner

Uganda 34.19%
Draw 46.35%
Bahrain 19.45%

Team To Score First

Uganda 59.23%
No Goal 8.55%
Bahrain 32.22%

Corners

Over 8 45.45%
Equal 8 12.08%
Under 8 42.47%
Over 9 34.28%
Equal 9 11.17%
Under 9 54.55%
Over 10.5 24.76%
Under 10.5 75.24%

Uganda Goals

Over 1.5 41.04%
Under 1.5 58.96%
Over 2.5 17.36%
Under 2.5 82.64%
Over 3.5 5.85%
Under 3.5 94.15%

Bahrain Goals

Over 0.5 61.29%
Under 0.5 38.71%
Over 1.5 28.59%
Under 1.5 71.41%
Over 2.5 10.85%
Under 2.5 89.15%
Over 3.5 3.7%
Under 3.5 96.3%

Score analysis

Uganda 45.5%
Draw 26.14%
Bahrain 28.41%
Uganda
1-0 @ 12.07%
2-1 @ 8.82%
2-0 @ 8.31%
3-0 @ 4.09%
3-1 @ 4.08%
3-2 @ 2.39%
Other @ 5.74%
Total : 45.5%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.83%
0-0 @ 8.55%
2-2 @ 4.7%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.14%
Bahrain
0-1 @ 7.97%
1-2 @ 6.42%
0-2 @ 4.23%
1-3 @ 2.53%
2-3 @ 1.85%
0-3 @ 1.82%
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 28.41%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
Jan 27, 2022 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Mahdi Abd Al Jabar 29' goal
  • Hashim Sayed Isa 34' yellowcard
  • E. Alkhatal 56' goal
  • A. Duaij 89' goal
  • yellowcard Ben Ocen 3'
  • goal Milton Karisa 9'
  • redcard Ben Ocen 25'