International Friendlies
Jun 5, 2026 1.00am
Benjamin Mkapa National Stadium

Tanzania vs Uganda - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Tanzania

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Mar 29, 2026 2.00pm
Macao 0 - 6 Tanzania

Uganda

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Tanzania win with a probability of 43.82%. A draw has a probability of 28.2% and a win for Uganda has a probability of 28.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tanzania win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.98%) , while for a Uganda win it is 0-1 (9.17%).

Result

Tanzania 43.82% (-0.07)
Draw 28.2% (+0.03)
Uganda 28.02% (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.73% (-0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 68.38% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 31.62% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 42.73% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 57.27% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 22.48% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 77.52% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 11.78% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 88.22% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Tanzania 31.21% (-0.15)
Draw 49.51% (+0.08)
Uganda 19.28% (+0.09)

Team To Score First

Tanzania 57.17% (-0.04)
No Goal 9.86% (+0.03)
Uganda 32.97% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 13.03% (-0.04)
Equal 8 5.95% (-0.02)
Under 8 81.02% (+0.07)
Over 9 9.06% (-0.02)
Equal 9 3.97% (-0.01)
Under 9 86.97% (+0.04)
Over 10.5 6.46% (-0.03)
Under 10.5 93.54% (+0.03)

Tanzania Goals

Over 1.5 38.19% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 61.81% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 15.21% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 84.79% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 4.83% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 95.17% (+0.02)

Uganda Goals

Over 0.5 61.1% (+0.07)
Under 0.5 38.9% (-0.07)
Over 1.5 26.4% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 73.6% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 8.92% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 91.08% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 2.5%
Under 3.5 97.5%

Score analysis

Tanzania 43.81%
Draw 28.2%
Uganda 28.02%
Tanzania
1-0 @ 12.62% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 8.68% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.16% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 3.87% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.58%
3-2 @ 2.19% (-0.02)
Other @ 4.71% (-0.03)
Total : 43.81%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.98% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 9.86% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 4.5%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 28.2%
Uganda
0-1 @ 9.17%
1-2 @ 6.28% (+0.04)
0-2 @ 4.51% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.33%
0-3 @ 1.71% (+0.04)
2-3 @ 1.64%
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 28.02%

Head to Head

Africa Cup of Nations
Dec 27, 2025 5.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Kenneth Semakula 45'+5' yellowcard
  • Denis Masinde Onyango 71' yellowcard
  • Uche Ikpeazu 80' goal
  • Uche Ikpeazu 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Simon Msuva 59'
  • yellowcard Dickson Job 73'
  • yellowcard Haji Mnoga 88'
  • yellowcard Haji Mnoga 89'
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Mar 28, 2023 6.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • goal Rogers Mato 90'+1'
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Mar 24, 2023 2.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • goal Simon Msuva 68'
International Friendlies
Sep 24, 2022 6.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Benjamin Mkapa National Stadium
  • Simon Msuva 29' goal
International Friendlies
Dec 9, 2021 4.30pm