International Friendlies
Jun 5, 2026 11.00am
Benjamin Mkapa National Stadium

Tanzania vs Uganda - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Tanzania

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Mar 29, 2026 2.00pm
Macao 0 - 6 Tanzania

Uganda

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tanzania win with a probability of 43.82%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Uganda had a probability of 28.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tanzania win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.98%) , while for a Uganda win it was 0-1 (9.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.

Result

Tanzania 43.82% (-0.07)
Draw 28.2% (+0.03)
Uganda 28.02% (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.73% (-0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 68.38% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 31.62% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 42.73% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 57.27% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 22.48% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 77.52% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 11.78% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 88.22% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Tanzania 31.21% (-0.15)
Draw 49.51% (+0.08)
Uganda 19.28% (+0.09)

Team To Score First

Tanzania 57.17% (-0.04)
No Goal 9.86% (+0.03)
Uganda 32.97% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 13.03% (-0.04)
Equal 8 5.95% (-0.02)
Under 8 81.02% (+0.07)
Over 9 9.06% (-0.02)
Equal 9 3.97% (-0.01)
Under 9 86.97% (+0.04)
Over 10.5 6.46% (-0.03)
Under 10.5 93.54% (+0.03)

Tanzania Goals

Over 1.5 38.19% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 61.81% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 15.21% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 84.79% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 4.83% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 95.17% (+0.02)

Uganda Goals

Over 0.5 61.1% (+0.07)
Under 0.5 38.9% (-0.07)
Over 1.5 26.4% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 73.6% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 8.92% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 91.08% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 2.5%
Under 3.5 97.5%

Score analysis

Tanzania 43.81%
Draw 28.2%
Uganda 28.02%
Tanzania
1-0 @ 12.62% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 8.68% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.16% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 3.87% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.58%
3-2 @ 2.19% (-0.02)
Other @ 4.71% (-0.03)
Total : 43.81%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.98% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 9.86% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 4.5%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 28.2%
Uganda
0-1 @ 9.17%
1-2 @ 6.28% (+0.04)
0-2 @ 4.51% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.33%
0-3 @ 1.71% (+0.04)
2-3 @ 1.64%
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 28.02%

Head to Head

Africa Cup of Nations
Dec 27, 2025 5.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Kenneth Semakula 45'+5' yellowcard
  • Denis Masinde Onyango 71' yellowcard
  • Uche Ikpeazu 80' goal
  • Uche Ikpeazu 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Simon Msuva 59'
  • yellowcard Dickson Job 73'
  • yellowcard Haji Mnoga 88'
  • yellowcard Haji Mnoga 89'
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Mar 28, 2023 6.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • goal Rogers Mato 90'+1'
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Mar 24, 2023 2.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • goal Simon Msuva 68'
International Friendlies
Sep 24, 2022 6.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Benjamin Mkapa National Stadium
  • Simon Msuva 29' goal
International Friendlies
Dec 9, 2021 4.30pm