Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tanzania win with a probability of 43.82%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Uganda had a probability of 28.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tanzania win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.98%) , while for a Uganda win it was 0-1 (9.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.