Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tanzania win with a probability of 72%. A draw had a probability of 18.04% and a win for Liechtenstein had a probability of 9.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tanzania win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.62%) and 3-0 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.06%) , while for a Liechtenstein win it was 0-1 (4.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.