International Friendlies
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Uganda vs Madagascar - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uganda win with a probability of 43.57%. A win for Madagascar had a probability of 30.47% and a draw had a probability of 25.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Uganda win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Madagascar win was 0-1 (7.58%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
Result
Uganda
43.57%
▼
(-0.04)
Draw
25.96%
▲
(+0.04)
Madagascar
30.47%
Both Teams to Score:
53.97%
▼
(-0.14)
Goals
Over 1.5
74.66%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 1.5
25.34%
▲
(+0.11)
Over 2.5
51.73%
▼
(-0.21)
Under 2.5
48.27%
▲
(+0.21)
Over 3.5
30.58%
▼
(-0.24)
Under 3.5
69.42%
▲
(+0.24)
Over 4.5
17.85%
▼
(-0.19)
Under 4.5
82.15%
▲
(+0.20)
First Half Winner
Uganda
36.47%
Draw
46.1%
Madagascar
17.43%
Team To Score First
Uganda
59.94%
▼
(-0.03)
No Goal
7.52%
▲
(+0.02)
Madagascar
32.54%
Corners
Over 8
35.15%
Equal 8
11.25%
Under 8
53.6%
Over 9
25.59%
Equal 9
9.57%
Under 9
64.85%
Over 10.5
18.04%
Under 10.5
81.96%
Uganda Goals
Over 1.5
42.74%
▼
(-0.12)
Under 1.5
57.26%
▲
(+0.12)
Over 2.5
19.12%
▼
(-0.10)
Under 2.5
80.88%
▲
(+0.10)
Over 3.5
7.13%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 3.5
92.87%
▲
(+0.08)
Madagascar Goals
Over 0.5
64.58%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 0.5
35.42%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 1.5
32.72%
▼
(-0.14)
Under 1.5
67.28%
▲
(+0.13)
Over 2.5
13.36%
▼
(-0.14)
Under 2.5
86.64%
▲
(+0.13)
Over 3.5
4.66%
▼
(-0.09)
Under 3.5
95.34%
▲
(+0.08)
Score analysis
Uganda
43.58%
Draw
25.96%
Madagascar
30.46%
Uganda
1-0
@
10.24%
▲
(+0.05)
2-1 @ 8.58% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 7.32%
3-1 @ 4.34%
3-0 @ 3.56%
3-2 @ 2.76% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 6.78% ▼ (-0.06)
Total : 43.58%
2-1 @ 8.58% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 7.32%
3-1 @ 4.34%
3-0 @ 3.56%
3-2 @ 2.76% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 6.78% ▼ (-0.06)
Total : 43.58%
Draw
1-1
@
11.36%
▲
(+0.06)
0-0 @ 7.52% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.4% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.33% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.35% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 25.96%
0-0 @ 7.52% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.4% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.33% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.35% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 25.96%
Madagascar
0-1
@
7.58%
▲
(+0.07)
1-2 @ 6.96% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 4.24% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.99% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.32% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 2.06%
Other @ 4.31% ▼ (-0.08)
Total : 30.46%
1-2 @ 6.96% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 4.24% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.99% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.32% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 2.06%
Other @ 4.31% ▼ (-0.08)
Total : 30.46%