Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying Gameweek 2
Sep 28, 2026 8.00pm
Hammadi Agrebi Stadium

Tunisia vs Botswana - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Tunisia

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Sep 24, 2026 8.00pm
Tunisia 1 - 1 Uganda

Botswana

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Sep 24, 2026 5.00pm
Libya 2 - 2 Botswana

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Tunisia win with a probability of 62.78%. A draw has a probability of 21.77% and a win for Botswana has a probability of 15.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tunisia win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (11.56%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.46%) , while for a Botswana win it is 0-1 (5.42%).

Result

Tunisia 62.78% ▲ (+0.24)
Draw 21.77% ▲ (+0.11)
Botswana 15.45% ▼ (-0.34)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.72% ▼ (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.92% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 26.08% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 49.99% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 50.01% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 26.72% ▼ (-0.38)
Under 3.5 73.24% ▲ (+0.33)
Over 4.5 16.13% ▼ (-0.27)
Under 4.5 83.87% ▲ (+0.28)

First Half Winner

Tunisia 45.38% ▲ (+0.36)
Draw 40.72% ▲ (+0.36)
Botswana 13.9% ▼ (-0.71)

Team To Score First

Tunisia 67.06% ▼ (-0.29)
No Goal 7.49% ▲ (+0.19)
Botswana 25.45% ▲ (+0.11)

Corners

Over 8 36.64% ▲ (+0.33)
Equal 8 10.82%
Under 8 52.54% ▼ (-0.33)
Over 9 27.3% ▲ (+0.29)
Equal 9 9.34% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 9 63.36% ▼ (-0.32)
Over 10.5 19.81% ▲ (+0.24)
Under 10.5 80.19% ▼ (-0.25)

Tunisia Goals

Over 1.5 54.39% ▲ (+0.25)
Under 1.5 45.61% ▼ (-0.25)
Over 2.5 28.69% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 2.5 71.31% ▼ (-0.16)
Over 3.5 11.51% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 3.5 88.49% ▲ (+0.07)

Botswana Goals

Over 0.5 48.14% ▼ (-0.39)
Under 0.5 51.86% ▲ (+0.39)
Over 1.5 16.34% ▼ (-0.36)
Under 1.5 83.66% ▲ (+0.36)
Over 2.5 3.97% ▼ (-0.20)
Under 2.5 96.03% ▲ (+0.21)
Over 3.5 0.77% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 3.5 99.23% ▲ (+0.10)

Score analysis

Tunisia 62.79%
Draw 21.78%
Botswana 15.46%
Tunisia
1-0 @ 13.2% ▼ (-0.08)
2-0 @ 11.56% ▲ (+0.06)
2-1 @ 9.77% ▲ (+0.08)
3-0 @ 8.14% ▲ (+0.31)
3-1 @ 6.15% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.47% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 11.5% ▼ (-0.08)
Total : 62.79%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.46% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 7.49% ▲ (+0.19)
2-2 @ 3.4% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 21.78%
Botswana
0-1 @ 5.42% ▼ (-0.09)
1-2 @ 4.61%
0-2 @ 1.89% ▼ (-0.09)
1-3 @ 1.05% ▼ (-0.10)
Other @ 0.76% ▼ (-0.09)
Total : 15.46%

Head to Head

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Sep 7, 2023 8.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Alford Velaphi 60' goal
  • Youssef Msakni 82' goal
  • Youssef Msakni 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Lebogang Ditsele 16'
  • yellowcard Mothusi Cooper 59'
  • yellowcard Gape Mohutsiwa 90'+1'
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Jun 5, 2022 2.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Francistown Stadium
  • Alford Velaphi 18' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ferjani Sassi 51'