Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Niger win with a probability of 37.18%. A win for Botswana had a probability of 36.14% and a draw had a probability of 26.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Niger win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.52%) and 0-2 (5.34%). The likeliest Botswana win was 1-0 (8.9%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.