Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Angola win with a probability of 50.05%. A draw had a probability of 26.15% and a win for Botswana had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Angola win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.09%) and 2-1 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.14%) , while for a Botswana win it was 0-1 (8.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.