International Friendlies
Sep 30, 2026 2.00am
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Sports Illustrated Stadium
  • Víctor Guzmán 49' goal
  • Mateo Chávez 52' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marcos López 9'
  • yellowcard Andrea Sentimenti 9'
  • goal Jairo Vélez 26'
  • yellowcard Jairo Vélez 28'
  • yellowcard Renzo Garcés 45'+2'

Mexico vs Peru - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Mexico

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Sep 27, 2026 2.00am
Mexico 1 - 1 Colombia

Peru

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Sep 26, 2026 9.30pm
USA 4 - 1 Peru

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 61.35%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Peru had a probability of 14.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.7%) and 2-1 (8.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.65%) , while for a Peru win it was 0-1 (6.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.

Result

Mexico 61.35%
Draw 24.4%
Peru 14.2%

Both Teams to Score: 

37.65%

Goals

Over 1.5 65.71%
Under 1.5 34.29%
Over 2.5 39.3%
Under 2.5 60.7%
Over 3.5 19.4%
Under 3.5 80.6%
Over 4.5 11.16%
Under 4.5 88.84%

Mexico Goals

Over 1.5 48.03%
Under 1.5 51.97%
Over 2.5 22.29%
Under 2.5 77.71%
Over 3.5 8.31%
Under 3.5 91.69%

Peru Goals

Over 0.5 42.88%
Under 0.5 57.12%
Over 1.5 12.28%
Under 1.5 87.72%
Over 2.5 2.53%
Under 2.5 97.47%
Over 3.5 0.42%
Under 3.5 99.58%

Score analysis

Mexico 61.35%
Draw 24.39%
Peru 14.2%
Mexico
1-0 @ 17.05%
2-0 @ 13.7%
2-1 @ 8.66%
3-0 @ 7.41%
3-1 @ 4.72%
3-2 @ 1.52%
Other @ 8.29%
Total : 61.35%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.65%
0-0 @ 10.61%
2-2 @ 2.78%
Other @ 0.02%
Total : 24.39%
Peru
0-1 @ 6.57%
1-2 @ 3.38%
0-2 @ 2.07%
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 14.2%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
Sep 25, 2022 2.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Soldier Field
  • Hirving Lozano 85' goal