Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haiti win with a probability of 52.85%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Peru had a probability of 22.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haiti win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.87%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.66%) , while for a Peru win it was 0-1 (7.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.