International Friendlies
Sep 26, 2026 9.30pm
Robert F. Kennedy Memorial Stadium

USA vs Peru - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

USA

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Jun 6, 2026 7.30pm
USA 1 - 2 Germany

Peru

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Jun 9, 2026 3.00am
Peru 1 - 3 Spain

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a USA win with a probability of 60.72%. A draw has a probability of 23.19% and a win for Peru has a probability of 16.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a USA win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (11.62%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.5%) , while for a Peru win it is 0-1 (5.58%).

Result

USA 60.72%
Draw 23.19%
Peru 16.08%

Both Teams to Score: 

47.28%

Goals

Over 1.5 73.41%
Under 1.5 26.59%
Over 2.5 49.08%
Under 2.5 50.92%
Over 3.5 27.64%
Under 3.5 72.36%
Over 4.5 16.51%
Under 4.5 83.49%

First Half Winner

USA 43.59%
Draw 42.17%
Peru 14.24%

Team To Score First

USA 65.95%
No Goal 7.74%
Peru 26.31%

Corners

Over 8 55.77%
Equal 8 12.18%
Under 8 32.05%
Over 9 43.53%
Equal 9 12.24%
Under 9 44.23%
Over 10.5 32.32%
Under 10.5 67.69%

USA Goals

Over 1.5 53.65%
Under 1.5 46.35%
Over 2.5 26.88%
Under 2.5 73.12%
Over 3.5 11.05%
Under 3.5 88.95%

Peru Goals

Over 0.5 49.66%
Under 0.5 50.34%
Over 1.5 17.98%
Under 1.5 82.02%
Over 2.5 4.79%
Under 2.5 95.21%
Over 3.5 1.12%
Under 3.5 98.88%

Score analysis

USA 60.72%
Draw 23.19%
Peru 16.09%
USA
1-0 @ 13.27%
2-0 @ 11.62%
2-1 @ 9.78%
3-0 @ 6.79%
3-1 @ 5.82%
3-2 @ 2.52%
Other @ 10.92%
Total : 60.72%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.5%
0-0 @ 7.74%
2-2 @ 4.12%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.19%
Peru
0-1 @ 5.58%
1-2 @ 4.34%
0-2 @ 2.21%
2-3 @ 1.25%
1-3 @ 1.19%
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 16.09%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
Oct 17, 2018 12.30am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Pratt & Whitney Stadium at Rentschler Field (East Hartford, Connecticut)
  • Joshua Sargent 49' goal
  • Timothy Weah 53' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Luis Advincula 45'
  • yellowcard Christian Cueva 81'
  • goal Edison Flores 87'