World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage

Mar 24, 2025 at 4pm UK

Estadio Nacional 24 de Setembro

Guinea-Bissau
1 - 2
Burkina Faso

Banjaqui (36')
Correia (68'), Semedo (90+7')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Traore (6', 73')
Kabore (35'), Yago (53'), Simpore (65')

Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Africa Group Stage clash between Guinea-Bissau and Burkina Faso.

Form, Standings, Stats

Guinea-Bissau

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Sierra Leone 3-1 Guinea-Bissau
Thursday, March 20 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Equatorial Guinea	3	6	7
2	Nigeria	3	2	7
3	Ivory Coast	3	-3	3
4	Guinea-Bissau	3	-5	0

Burkina Faso

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Burkina Faso 4-1 Djibouti
Friday, March 21 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Angola	3	3	7
2	Burkina Faso	3	-1	4
3	Mauritania	3	-1	3
4	Algeria	3	-1	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burkina Faso win with a probability of 43.03%. A draw had a probability of 29.9% and a win for Guinea-Bissau had a probability of 27.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burkina Faso win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.97%) and 1-2 (7.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.21%), while for a Guinea-Bissau win it was 1-0 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burkina Faso would win this match.

Result
Guinea-Bissau	Draw	Burkina Faso
27.03% ( -0.23)	29.94% ( 0.18)	43.03% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 40.13% (

-0.54)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

33.54% (

-0.6)

66.46% (

0.6)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

15.1% (

-0.41)

84.9% (

0.41)

Guinea-Bissau Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58% (

-0.55)

42% (

0.55)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.57% (

-0.47)

78.43% (

0.48)

Burkina Faso Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.18% (

-0.28)

30.81% (

0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.91% (

-0.33)

67.09% (

0.33)

Score Analysis

Guinea-Bissau 27.02%

Burkina Faso 43.02%

Draw 29.93%

Guinea-Bissau	Draw	Burkina Faso
1-0 @ 11.22% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 5.73% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 4.87% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 1.66% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 1.41% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.16% Total : 27.02%	1-1 @ 13.21% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 12.94% ( 0.29) 2-2 @ 3.37% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.41% Total : 29.93%	0-1 @ 15.23% ( 0.22) 0-2 @ 8.97% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 7.78% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 3.52% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.05% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.12% Total : 43.02%