FA Cup | First Round Qualifying
Aug 31, 2024 at 3pm UK
 

Athletic Newham
3 - 3
Amersham Town

FT
Coverage of the FA Cup First Round Qualifying clash between Athletic Newham and Amersham Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Lancing 2-4 Athletic Newham
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in FA Cup
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Last Game: Amersham Town 4-1 Clevedon Town
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in FA Cup
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Amersham Town win with a probability of 49.12%. A win for Athletic Newham had a probability of 29.77% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Amersham Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.07%) and 0-2 (5.5%). The likeliest Athletic Newham win was 2-1 (6.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.

Result
Athletic NewhamDrawAmersham Town
29.77% (0.0039999999999978 0)21.11% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)49.12% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Both teams to score 69.68% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.95% (0.00099999999999056 0)29.04% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.97% (0.0019999999999953 0)50.02% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Athletic Newham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.65% (0.0010000000000048 0)20.34% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.26% (0.0020000000000024 0)52.74% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Amersham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.48%12.51%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.48%38.52%
Score Analysis
    Athletic Newham 29.77%
    Amersham Town 49.12%
    Draw 21.11%
Athletic NewhamDrawAmersham Town
2-1 @ 6.71%
1-0 @ 4.05%
3-2 @ 3.7%
3-1 @ 3.56% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-0 @ 3.23%
3-0 @ 1.71%
4-2 @ 1.47%
4-1 @ 1.42% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 29.77%
1-1 @ 8.42% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-2 @ 6.97%
3-3 @ 2.56%
0-0 @ 2.55%
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 21.11%
1-2 @ 8.76%
1-3 @ 6.07%
0-2 @ 5.5%
0-1 @ 5.29% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 4.83%
0-3 @ 3.81%
1-4 @ 3.15%
2-4 @ 2.51%
0-4 @ 1.98% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-4 @ 1.33%
1-5 @ 1.31%
2-5 @ 1.04%
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 49.12%