Euro 2020

European Championship | Group Stage

Jun 20, 2021 at 5pm UK

Bakı Olimpiya Stadionu

Switzerland
3 - 1
Turkey

Seferovic (6'), Shaqiri (26', 68')
Xhaka (78')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Kahveci (62')
Calhanoglu (70'), Celik (75'), Soyuncu (76')

Reaction

Switzerland's Xherdan Shaqiri celebrates scoring their third goal against Turkey at Euro 2020 on June 20, 2021

Xherdan Shaqiri hails "crucial performance" as Switzerland beat Turkey

Switzerland kept alive their hopes of qualifying for the knockout stages as one of the four best third-placed sides.

Jun 20, 21:43

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Switzerland win with a probability of 36.95%. A win for Turkey had a probability of 35.89% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Switzerland win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.05%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest Turkey win was 0-1 (10.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Switzerland would win this match.

Result
Switzerland	Draw	Turkey
36.95%	27.15%	35.89%

Both teams to score 50.43%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.02%

54.98%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.75%

76.25%

Switzerland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.33%

28.67%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.52%

64.48%

Turkey Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.69%

29.31%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.72%

65.27%

Score Analysis

Switzerland 36.95%

Turkey 35.89%

Draw 27.15%

Switzerland	Draw	Turkey
1-0 @ 10.49% 2-1 @ 8.05% 2-0 @ 6.56% 3-1 @ 3.35% 3-0 @ 2.73% 3-2 @ 2.06% 4-1 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.66% Total : 36.95%	1-1 @ 12.88% 0-0 @ 8.4% 2-2 @ 4.94% Other @ 0.93% Total : 27.15%	0-1 @ 10.31% 1-2 @ 7.91% 0-2 @ 6.33% 1-3 @ 3.24% 0-3 @ 2.59% 2-3 @ 2.02% 1-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.51% Total : 35.89%