Europa League

Europa League | Group Stage

Nov 5, 2020 at 5.55pm UK

Allianz Stadion

Rapid Vienna
4 - 3
Dundalk

Ljubicic (22'), Arase (79'), Hofmann (87'), Demir (90+1')
Hofmann (18'), Stojkovic (27'), Sonnleitner (81'), Schick (89')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Hoban (7'), McMillan (81' pen., 90+6' pen.)
Hoare (28'), Cleary (45+2'), Dummigan (83'), Keegan (90')

The Match

Match Report

Dundalk denied first point with narrow defeat to Rapid Vienna

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League Group B clash between Rapid Vienna and Dundalk, including predictions and a form guide.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rapid Vienna win with a probability of 51.54%. A win for Dundalk had a probability of 25.97% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rapid Vienna win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.97%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Dundalk win was 1-2 (6.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.2%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rapid Vienna would win this match.

Result
Rapid Vienna	Draw	Dundalk
51.54%	22.49%	25.97%

Both teams to score 61.19%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.2%

38.8%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.89%

61.11%

Rapid Vienna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.78%

15.23%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.12%

43.88%

Dundalk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.17%

27.83%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.58%

63.42%

Score Analysis

Rapid Vienna 51.54%

Dundalk 25.97%

Draw 22.49%

Rapid Vienna	Draw	Dundalk
2-1 @ 9.6% 1-0 @ 7.97% 2-0 @ 7.51% 3-1 @ 6.02% 3-0 @ 4.71% 3-2 @ 3.85% 4-1 @ 2.84% 4-0 @ 2.22% 4-2 @ 1.81% 5-1 @ 1.07% Other @ 3.94% Total : 51.54%	1-1 @ 10.2% 2-2 @ 6.14% 0-0 @ 4.24% 3-3 @ 1.64% Other @ 0.27% Total : 22.49%	1-2 @ 6.52% 0-1 @ 5.42% 0-2 @ 3.47% 1-3 @ 2.78% 2-3 @ 2.62% 0-3 @ 1.48% Other @ 3.69% Total : 25.97%