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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 79.51%. A draw had a probability of 13% and a win for ADO Den Haag had a probability of 7.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.34%) and 2-1 (8.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.04%), while for an ADO Den Haag win it was 1-2 (2.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.
Result | ||
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | ADO Den Haag |
79.51% | 13% | 7.5% |
Both teams to score 50.34% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
69.25% | 30.75% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
47.9% | 52.1% |
AZ Alkmaar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.96% | 6.04% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
77% | 23.01% |
ADO Den Haag Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.58% | 46.42% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.96% | 82.05% |
Score Analysis |
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | ADO Den Haag |
2-0 @ 11.05% 3-0 @ 10.34% 2-1 @ 8.48% 3-1 @ 7.94% 1-0 @ 7.87% 4-0 @ 7.26% 4-1 @ 5.57% 5-0 @ 4.07% 5-1 @ 3.13% 3-2 @ 3.05% 4-2 @ 2.14% 6-0 @ 1.91% 6-1 @ 1.46% 5-2 @ 1.2% Other @ 4.05% Total : 79.51% | 1-1 @ 6.04% 2-2 @ 3.25% 0-0 @ 2.81% Other @ 0.89% Total : 13% | 1-2 @ 2.32% 0-1 @ 2.15% Other @ 3.03% Total : 7.5% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 16 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 56 | 13 | 43 | 42 |
2 | Feyenoord | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 35 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 35 |
4 | Ajax | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 33 |
5 | FC Twente | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 28 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 28 | 16 | 12 | 26 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 22 |
8 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 22 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 21 |
10 | Heerenveen | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 21 |
11 | Willem II | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 19 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 16 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
14 | Groningen | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 11 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 17 | 40 | -23 | 6 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 34 | -27 | 6 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |