Eredivisie | Gameweek 17

Jan 16, 2021 at 8pm UK

AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar

AZ
2 - 1
ADO Den Haag

Aboukhlal (72', 89')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Kramer (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between AZ Alkmaar and ADO Den Haag, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 79.51%. A draw had a probability of 13% and a win for ADO Den Haag had a probability of 7.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.34%) and 2-1 (8.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.04%), while for an ADO Den Haag win it was 1-2 (2.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.

Result
AZ Alkmaar	Draw	ADO Den Haag
79.51%	13%	7.5%

Both teams to score 50.34%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

69.25%

30.75%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

47.9%

52.1%

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.96%

6.04%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

77%

23.01%

ADO Den Haag Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.58%

46.42%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.96%

82.05%

Score Analysis

AZ Alkmaar 79.51%

ADO Den Haag 7.5%

Draw 13%

AZ Alkmaar	Draw	ADO Den Haag
2-0 @ 11.05% 3-0 @ 10.34% 2-1 @ 8.48% 3-1 @ 7.94% 1-0 @ 7.87% 4-0 @ 7.26% 4-1 @ 5.57% 5-0 @ 4.07% 5-1 @ 3.13% 3-2 @ 3.05% 4-2 @ 2.14% 6-0 @ 1.91% 6-1 @ 1.46% 5-2 @ 1.2% Other @ 4.05% Total : 79.51%	1-1 @ 6.04% 2-2 @ 3.25% 0-0 @ 2.81% Other @ 0.89% Total : 13%	1-2 @ 2.32% 0-1 @ 2.15% Other @ 3.03% Total : 7.5%